Book the over on Johnson before the juice turns up.Every week TSN CFL stats guru Jon Perlberg takes a deep dive Inside The Numbers to give bettors an edge.
When healthy the Browns offense ranks second in offensive run DVOA, which not only speaks to the talents of Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt but also to the coaching in Cleveland. The Broncos defense ranks 20th in run DVOA while surrendering 71.83 yards per game to opposing running backs.
Johnson is projected for 68.45 yards on Thursday Night Football and a 17% return on investment. The NFL Player Props Tool projects a 62% expected win rate on the over, as he averaged 4.3 yards per carry through his four years in college at South Florida. The Browns backfield is in shambles, now with D’Ernest Johnson starting for Cleveland. D’Ernest Johnson Over 59.5 Yards Rushing (-113, FanDuel) Grab the over at moderate juice before line movement becomes a thing. Gordon has exceeded the necessary total for tonight’s prop in four of six games this year and surpassed 100 yards against the Giants in Week 1. The Browns defense ranks third in run DVOA, surrendering 70 yards per game to opposing running backs this season. With Gordon projected for 47.74 yards against the Browns tonight, the over has an expected 14% return on investment. As such, the props tool gives a 61% expected win rate to the over. Melvin Gordon has quietly performed in a split backfield for Denver, averaging 55.3 yards per game in six games this season.
Week 7 Thursday Night Football NFL Player Prop Bets Melvin Gordon Over 39.5 Yards Rushing (-115, PointsBet) From there, the OddsShopper tool picks the best line in the industry. It’s as simple as clicking on the tool and sorting by positive xROI. Our team of data experts, which includes a handful of the best daily fantasy players in the world - including Alex ‘Awesemo’ Baker, who has won more than $8 MIILLION from DFS - have loaned their projection creating expertise to our new player props tool, which allows you to choose the bets with the BEST expected return on investment. Want to make the most profitable bet available, according to our team of data experts? Look no further than the OddsShopper shopping tool.
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